The decision tree maker that tells you which option to choose

For consultants, analysts and founders who have to justify a money decision. See the best option, what it's worth and when it would flip, then put it in the deck.

No signup. Works in your browser.

Launch the new product?

Tap a probability to change it.
Launch the new product?−50k40%60%−15k50%−45k70%30%50%−45k10%90%Launch the newproduct?EV 42,000→ Launch nationallyLaunch nationallyEV 92,000Strong demand200,000Weak demand20,000Pilot in one city firstEV 50,500Pilot succeedsEV 101,000→ Roll out nationallyRoll out nationallyEV 146,000Strong demand200,000Weak demand20,000Stop after pilot0Pilot failsEV 0→ Stop after pilotRoll out anywayEV 38,000Strong demand200,000Weak demand20,000Stop after pilot0Don't launch0
Best option
Launch nationally – expected value 42,000, 6,500 ahead of Pilot in one city first. It stays the best choice unless the chance of strong demand under Launch nationally falls below 36.4%, when Pilot in one city first wins.
  • Used for launch, pricing and bid decisions
  • Textbook math: expected value, sensitivity, value of information
  • Exports to PowerPoint

Make the call. Then defend it.

Every number below is worked out live from one example, a product launch, exactly as the editor works it out.

See the answer

The best option, highlighted, with the number behind it.

Every option gets an expected value and the best one is lit. In this launch decision, going national is worth $42,000, $6,500 more than a pilot.

See the worked example

Know what would change it

See exactly when your answer flips.

Launch nationally stays the best choice unless the chance of strong demand falls below 36.4%.

See how the analysis works

Present it

Drop it straight into your deck.

Export a 16:9 PowerPoint slide with the tree and the recommendation, or a PNG or a PDF report.

See it for consultants

From a question to a slide in three steps

  1. Step 1

    Describe it or build it

    Type the decision in a sentence, start from a template or draw the options yourself.

  2. Step 2

    See the answer

    The best option, what it's worth and what would change it, recalculated every time you change a number.

  3. Step 3

    Share or present it

    Send a link, embed it on your site, or export a PowerPoint slide for the meeting.

Drawing tools vs DecisionBranch

A drawing tool gives you a picture of the tree. DecisionBranch gives you the answer.

What drawing tools and DecisionBranch each do
FeatureDrawing toolsDecisionBranch
Draws a decision treeYesYes
Calculates expected valueNoYes
Recommends an optionNoYes
Shows when the answer flipsNoYes
Exports a slide-ready exhibitPicture onlyPowerPoint, PNG, PDF

See the full comparison

Questions

Do I need to know decision analysis?
No. You describe the decision or start from a template, and DecisionBranch tells you the best option, what it's worth and what would change it, in plain words. The technical terms sit beside each result if you want them.
Is my data private?
Yes. Your trees are private unless you choose to publish them, and we never sell your data or show ads. If you use the AI builder, your description is sent to our AI provider to draft the tree and isn't used to train models.
Can I export to PowerPoint?
Yes. Pro exports a 16:9 PowerPoint slide with the tree and the Best option callout, plus a slide-ready PNG and a PDF report.
How is this different from Lucidchart or Excel add-ins?
Drawing tools like Lucidchart draw the tree but calculate nothing, and Excel add-ins calculate inside spreadsheet dialogs. DecisionBranch does both: it builds the tree, works out the best option, shows when the answer would flip and exports it for your deck.
Is it free?
Yes. Building trees, the best option and expected value, sharing by link and three AI builds a day are free, with no signup. Pro adds unlimited private trees, PowerPoint and PNG export, the deeper analysis and unlimited AI builds.
Can AI build the tree for me?
Yes. Describe the decision in a sentence and you get an analyzed tree with every assumption marked, so you can check the numbers before you rely on them. Three AI builds a day are free.

Make the call with the number behind it.

Build it, see the answer, and put it in front of the people who decide.

No signup. Works in your browser.

Free to start. Founding pricing: lock in about half price for life. See pricing →